The swing of the pendulum between the Scottish cities appears to have moved favourably for Edinburgh but less so for Glasgow while Aberdeen powers ahead on the crest of an oil wave. Even so, the level of activity remains weakened by the recession that started in 2007 and has hit confidence hard throughout the UK.
That is only part of the picture. The other is of a more resilient industrial sector and the impact of such improvements as the regeneration of the Clyde and the new M74 link.
According to the Registers of Scotland, commercial property transactions are down to the level of 2007 with a total of £890 million in the first half, which is £200 million below January-June 2010. David Melhuish of the Scottish Property Federation said: “Generally the market is bumping along the bottom.” As far as investment is concerned, in the first half it totalled £165 million, down from £180 million in the preceding six months. Half of this was accounted for by Glasgow and Edinburgh.
Campbell Docherty of CB Richard Ellis said: “There is still good demand from UK institutions and significant interest from overseas investors, specifically German open ended funds, in the prime regional office market although a severe lack of investment products and a shortage of development pipeline is hampering deal volume.” The CBRE report on the market highlights the stronger performance of industrial property compared with offices so far this year. Ryden’s Alan Gilkison said: ”The mid sized market, up to 3,716 sq.metres (40,000 sq.ft.), has been quiet while the smaller sector as well as larger sheds has improved.”
He noted that there had been a shift in demand for space from distribution to manufacturing. “The level of requirements is encouraging and we expect deals in the larger space to improve in the next few months.” What is clear from Gilkison and other property professionals in Glasgow is that the new M74 extension, which completes the ring road, is having a significant impact on business including opening up brownfield sites for development.
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